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Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

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  • 46 episodes
  • a few times a week
  • Avg 1 hr 3 min
  • English

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  • Wednesday · 53 min

    Thomas Kurz: “Why Warm Climates Moderate Severe Weather” | Tom Nelson Pod #444

    Tom Kurz promotes his book Why There Is No Climate Crisis, and argues media and politicians wrongly claim warming increases weather catastrophes. He attributes major climate swings to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and cites satellite-era hurricane data showing fewer hurricanes since 1990, with ACE and PDI declining and no meaningful trend in Category 4–5 storms. He says strong (EF2–EF5) U.S. tornadoes have declined since 1954, while weaker tornado counts rose due to better detection. Paleoclimate evidence (ice cores, dune sands, historical records) is cited to link colder periods to worse storms and droughts. He argues Arctic amplification and upper-troposphere warming weaken storm drivers, claims heatwaves/wildfires track natural cycles, droughts decline, greening and crop yields rise, climate- and famine-deaths fall, and IPCC finds no clear global flood trend. 00:00 Intro and Guest 00:39 Media Fear Claims 02:33 AMO Climate Cycles 07:27 Hurricane Trends Data 11:24 Tornado Strength Decline 14:52 Paleoclimate Storm Evidence 18:57 Why Warming Weakens Storms 26:02 Deaths Down With Warming 27:18 Heatwaves and Metrics 33:15 Wildfires and Greening 38:22 Drought History and Famine 46:13 Floods and Final Summary 48:20 Book Plug and Q&A Wrap “Why There is No Climate Crisis: The Surprising Evidence You Should Know”: https://a.co/d/05rKxsYU https://www.whynoclimatecrisis.com/ Email: info@WhyNoClimateCrisis.com ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • November 6 · 48 min

    Nicole Sachs: “The cure for chronic pain” #443

    Tom interviews therapist and author Nicole Sachs about recovering from severe back pain diagnosed at 19 as degenerative spondylolisthesis. After learning surgery wouldn’t guarantee pain relief, she discovered Dr. John Sarno’s TMS model: chronic symptoms can stem from nervous-system dysregulation driven by repressed emotions and trauma. Sachs describes her work helping people worldwide, including Michael Porter Jr. and Steve Kerr, emphasizing three pillars: belief in brain science, doing “JournalSpeak” to make the unconscious conscious, and self-compassion. She explains symptoms as an “alarm,” not the “fire,” urges curiosity over fear, and directs listeners to resources at nicolesachs.com. 00:00 Meet Nicole Sachs 00:44 Back Pain Diagnosis Shock 03:03 Surgery Doubts Spark Curiosity 05:01 Discovering Sarno TMS 07:15 Recovery Stories Proof 09:47 Sarno Visit Trash Can 15:17 Growing Reach Younger Fans 20:39 Steve Kerr Turnaround 23:35 Pain Despair Hope 26:54 Mind Body Basics Explained 34:50 Fire Alarm Analogy 39:12 JournalSpeak Breakthrough 46:33 How To Start Today 47:19 Closing Curiosity Message https://www.yourbreakawake.com/ https://www.youtube.com/@thecureforchronicpain ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • November 3 · 1 hr 30 min

    Ronan Connolly/Gerry Quinn: “Assessing the Safety of the Modified mRNA Vaccine” #442

    Ronan Connolly and Gerry Quinn discuss their new peer-reviewed Journal of Toxicology paper assessing safety concerns around modified mRNA COVID vaccines. They criticize shifting claims about vaccine efficacy, difficulties publishing dissenting views, and argue the technology differs from traditional vaccines because it delivers genetic instructions via lipid nanoparticles with broad body distribution. They discuss potential issues including dosing and duration of spike protein production, microvesicle transport, pseudouridine-related frame shifting and protein misfolding, manufacturing differences between trials and mass rollout, and possible DNA contamination. They also review clinical trial criticisms, seasonality findings, and argue observational claims of lives saved rely on models and confounding. 00:00 Guests and COVID Paper Recap 01:32 New mRNA Vaccine Focus 03:22 New Toxicology Paper and Caveats 08:50 Why Discussing Harms Was Taboo 10:28 Old Vaccines vs Gene Tech 15:27 Testing Gaps and Gene Therapy Roots 23:42 Where It Goes and How Long It Lasts 28:27 Manufacturing Differences and Contamination 36:13 Nobel Prize and Pseudouridine 41:15 How Modified Bases Can Misread 42:13 Frameshift Proteins Found 43:08 Codons Explained Simply 44:57 Reductionism Meets Epigenetics 47:30 Codon Optimization Changes Folding 51:37 Why Spike Protein Matters 56:14 Long COVID vs Long Vax 58:40 Trial Efficacy Math 01:02:02 Whistleblowers and Unblinding 01:07:26 Seasonality and Lockdowns 01:11:10 Lives Saved Model Critique 01:15:26 Observational Study Confounding 01:18:37 Adverse Events and Gatekeeping 01:23:26 Final Takeaways and Resources Ronan’s X: https://x.com/1RonanConnolly Gerry’s X: https://x.com/jercuinn “Scientists uncover major safety concerns over mRNA vaccine technology”: https://www.ceres-science.com/post/scientists-uncover-major-safety-concerns-over-mrna-vaccine-technology ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 30 · 41 min

    Anika Sweetland: “A Load of Bollocks?: The Trillion Dollar Climate Scare” #441

    Anika Sweetland describes becoming fearful of climate change after a school assignment, obsessively following catastrophic headlines, studying climate science, and suffering severe health issues she links to eco-anxiety. During lockdown and after observing net zero’s economic impacts in England, she began questioning claims, researching data on topics like sea levels, crop yields, and past cooling vs warming scares, and concluded she had been “brainwashed.” She discusses media ethics, impacts on children, and argues climate fears enable centralized control. Sweetland and host Tom discuss her new book, its humor, an upcoming Audible version, and support from physicist Will Happer, who wrote the foreword. 00:00 Doomsday Headlines Hook 00:57 Lockdown Rabbit Hole 01:36 Questioning The Narrative 01:56 Meet The Author 04:11 All In Research Mindset 05:01 Childhood Climate Fear 07:25 Skeptic Turn In Zurich 09:48 Checking Claims One By One 13:44 Old Scares Same Script 18:18 Eco Anxiety Health Crash 21:50 Are People Waking Up 24:10 Cargo Bikes Backlash 25:02 Finding Real Climate Data 25:53 Net Zero Meets Blackouts 26:32 Nuclear For Data Centers 28:50 Renewables Reality Check 29:29 Wind Turbine True Costs 30:35 Humor In The Book 31:14 Party Of Doom Story 33:01 Reaching True Believers 33:30 Sea Level Claims Tested 34:55 Climate Fear And Moving 36:16 Mind Body Healing 37:54 Handling Critics And Online 38:51 Audiobook And Happer Forward 40:46 Conference Protest Moment 41:20 Final Book Plug Thanks https://x.com/anika_climate https://aloadofbollocks.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 27 · 39 min

    James Kamis: “El Nino/La Nina system generated by geological forces” #440

    Geologist James Kamis argues El Niño and La Niña are generated by geological forces near a stationary Pacific Ring of Fire source, not primarily by trade-wind shifts. Citing cone-shaped warming/cooling patterns, helium concentrations as volcanic indicators, burst-like heat “blobs,” sharp temperature boundaries, centuries of recorded events, seafloor volcanoes, hydrothermal vents, trenches, and methane hydrate “ice rocks,” he proposes magma heat melts hydrates to create La Niña cooling and continued heating yields El Niño warming. He compares related phenomena (El Padre/La Madre), points to rapid North Atlantic warming linked to a spreading center, and says volcanic impacts may be underestimated in climate studies. He calls for more seafloor mapping and denser Argo buoy coverage. 00:00 Meet the Geologist 01:14 Geology Behind ENSO 03:09 Why Wind Theory Fails 05:16 Volcanic Evidence 10:18 Ring of Fire Origins 11:05 Ocean Floor Revealed 12:20 Undersea Volcanoes 14:20 Hydrothermal Heat Engine 16:09 Faults and Quakes 17:19 Methane Hydrates Model 20:01 Source Area Deep Dive 21:46 La Niña Mechanics 23:33 Analog Events Worldwide 27:29 Atlantic Heat Spike 29:27 Climate Change Impacts 33:25 Wrap Up and Q&A Kamis’ website: https://www.plateclimatology.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 23 · 1 hr 10 min

    Dave Burton: “Lifetimes Of Atmospheric CO2 And Heat” #439

    David Burton argues recent warming (~1.25°C since 1870) is small and often overstated, while CO2 benefits crops and ecosystems by boosting growth and water efficiency, reducing famine risk alongside fossil-fuel-based nitrogen fertilizer. He says storm and sea-level data show little acceleration, citing linear long-term tide-gauge records like Honolulu and noting local land motion dominates. His paper discusses multiple CO2 “lifetimes”: turnover (3–5 years), bomb-spike radiocarbon (~20 years), and the climate-relevant adjustment time he estimates at ~55±10 years, with a long tail he deems currently unimportant. He criticizes IPCC “cumulative emissions/TCRE” and “carbon budget” concepts as unphysical, analyzes direct waste heat as negligible (~52–58 days), and promotes his sealevel.info tools and archived Climategate emails. 00:00 Meet David Burton 00:23 How Much Warming Really 02:04 Ice Ages And Freezing Thresholds 03:06 CO2 Greening And Crop Gains 05:28 Famine History And Fertilizer 07:48 Storms Tornadoes And Sea Level 11:00 Paper Overview CO2 Lifetimes 11:55 Turnover Bomb Spike Adjustment 14:31 Cumulative Emissions Myth 15:38 Heat Pulse Lifetime 19:45 Suess Effect Carbon14 Confusion 27:03 Why CO2 Rises Negative Feedbacks 30:03 Linear Removal Rate And Limits 34:14 Why Plant Uptake Stays Linear 35:30 CO2 Boosts Crop Yields 37:03 Airborne Fraction Myth 39:16 Emissions Plateau Math 42:14 Long Tail Lifespan Debate 43:40 Cumulative Emissions Critique 48:49 Carbon Budget Pushback 50:50 How Long Heat Lasts 55:10 Where to Find More 56:39 Sea Level Tools vs NOAA 01:01:05 Climategate Archive Access 01:02:56 Ocean Chemistry and Carbonate 01:08:08 Climate Industry FUD Wrap https://co2coalition.org/teammember/david-burton/ ClimateGate emails on Dave’s site: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1916076156371058904 Watts Up With That article on Dave’s site: https://wattsupwiththat.com/2017/01/21/new-website-gives-you-the-real-deal-on-sea-level-rise-and-rates/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 20 · 1 hr 19 min

    Chuck Wiese: “Contradicting Conclusions From Atmospheric Science” #438

    Chuck Weiss presents his background in atmospheric science, meteorology, aviation, and inventing the Windicator, then argues Oregon universities and public schools promote a politicized “climate crisis” despite Oregon’s small share of global emissions. He defines the greenhouse effect as a radiation-flux difference and claims water vapor and clouds dominate radiative processes while CO2 mainly cools the troposphere and has negligible warming influence, especially over oceans. He argues convection and the hydrologic cycle negate CO2 effects, climate models fail due to grid-resolution and energy-tracking limits, and key predictions (e.g., tropical mid-troposphere “hotspot”) conflict with balloon/satellite data. He attributes recent warming to declining albedo, alleges temperature-data manipulation, disputes extreme-weather and Arctic-ice claims, and criticizes green-energy policies as costly and ineffective. 00:00 Meet Chuck Weiss 00:25 Credentials and Forecasting Wins 02:34 Aviation Career Highlights 03:08 Why He Challenges CO2 Theory 04:38 Oregon Climate Politics Critique 07:39 Schools and Climate Indoctrination 09:19 Defining the Greenhouse Effect 12:00 Greenhouse Gases Spectrum Breakdown 16:51 Why Greenhouse Gases Cool Air 18:49 Water Vapor Drives Convection 22:50 Clouds Cancel CO2 Warming 24:53 Ocean Absorption Reality Check 27:14 How Climate Models Work 31:48 Model Predictions vs Observations 36:04 Hotspot Failure in Mid Troposphere 39:01 Temperature Data Adjustments 42:00 Satellite Record Teaser 42:17 Satellite Warming Pause 43:41 Albedo Drives Warming 44:37 Radiative Forcing Critique 48:37 Hansen CO2 Claims 50:13 Emissions vs CO2 Rise 52:14 CO2 Cycle and E-Time 55:59 Severe Weather Myth 01:01:45 Trenberth Missing Heat 01:03:03 Arctic Ice Reality Check 01:04:58 Fake Crisis Wrap-Up 01:06:56 Why Climate Models Fail 01:09:29 AI and Turbulence Talk 01:14:46 Flying in Heat and Cold 01:17:41 Final Policy Takeaway Chuck Wiese’s Critique of the 6th Oregon Climate assessment: https://edberry.com/critique-of-the-6th-oregon-climate-assessment/ More at Ed Berry’s site here: https://edberry.com/?s=wiese ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 16 · 1 hr 7 min

    Iain Davis: “The Technocratic Dark State” | Tom Nelson Pod #437

    Iain Davis discusses his book The Technocratic Dark State, arguing Silicon Valley oligarchs (e.g., Thiel, Musk, Andreessen, Altman, Ellison) steer policy toward a tokenized “everything” economy, including natural assets, carbon markets, and a vastly expanded paper valuation. He says climate narratives may be rebranded across political demographics to sell the same goal: technocratic digital control via programmable money, digital identity, AI-driven surveillance, and BIS-led cross-border “interoperable” payment standards. Davis warns censorship will shift from speech to “reach,” citing the UK Online Safety Act and arrests for online comments, and describes “everything apps,” biometrics-based payments, and geo-fenced spending as tools for automated compliance and fines. He contends surveillance is already pervasive through devices and apps, and says adoption is ultimately a public choice. 00:00 Meet Iain Davis 00:11 Silicon Valley and Trump 03:10 Tokenizing Everything 05:18 Carbon Markets and Nature 08:39 Climate Narrative Rebrand 10:51 Digital Control Pitch 12:51 Free Speech and Shadowbans 16:04 Online Safety and Censorship 20:31 X as Everything App 23:05 Crisis Pressure and Control 28:04 Debt and Tokenized Assets 32:03 Stablecoins and New Rails 33:49 Programmable Money Interop 35:51 BIS Controls Standards 37:49 Bitcoin as Reserve Asset 41:13 Programmable Money Fears 42:12 AI Data Lake Control 46:31 Robots and Adoption Incentives 50:54 Mass Surveillance Reality 56:05 Face Pay and Auto Fines 58:45 Digital ID Skepticism 01:02:07 Agentic State Explained 01:06:15 Wrap Up and Choice https://iaindavis.com/ https://www.ukcolumn.org/writer/iain-davis https://x.com/_InThisTogether ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 13 · 55 min

    Paul Burgess: “An explanation of climate change, pure and simple” | Tom Nelson Pod #436

    Paul Burgess presents his “Oceanic Index” model of climate change, arguing oceans regulate low cloud cover that acts as Earth’s thermostat, explaining satellite-era temperatures (1982–2025) with high accuracy and extending the approach back using proxies. He accepts anthropogenic CO2 and a direct ECS near 1–1.2°C per doubling, estimating about 0.6°C warming from CO2 since 1850, but rejects IPCC feedbacks and says a ~2.4% reduction in low clouds can account for additional warming, consistent with CERES radiation data where ocean changes lead cloud changes and then temperature. He discusses mechanisms from meteorology (marine inversion changes), historical periods (Little Ice Age, Roman/Medieval warmth) as largely natural, critiques temperature records and climate messaging, and briefly comments on Lindzen’s iris effect and energy policy debates. 00:00 Cloud Thermostat Intro 01:25 Oceanic Index Basics 03:16 What I Accept 04:45 Out of Sample Proof 06:00 ECS Debate Explained 07:32 Ocean Cloud Mechanism 09:16 CERES Sunshade Evidence 12:59 Small Cloud Drop Big Warming 14:26 Back to 1695 16:34 Holocene Lessons 17:40 Oceans Through Minima 20:57 Warm Periods Without CO2 22:03 Mediterranean Cloud Check 24:51 Extending Index to 1800s 28:02 Connolly Adjustment Fit 29:49 El Nino 1870s Peak 30:55 El Niño Context 31:22 ECS Assumptions 31:52 Clouds Fill The Gap 33:32 Feedback Claim Rebuttal 34:57 Frozen Formula Validation 36:02 CERES Versus IPCC 38:04 Scorecard Evidence 40:12 Cloud Mechanism Explained 41:07 Kid Friendly Ocean Cycle 44:21 Alarmism And Propaganda 50:49 Iris Effect Question 52:40 Net Zero Cost Reality 55:27 Closing Thoughts Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism Main paper: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/how-the-sun-via-the-oceans-controls The paper on comparing the Mediterranean study: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/a-mediterranean-study-of-the-effect The Paper On The Holocene as far as LIA: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/holocene-to-the-little-ice-age-a ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 9 · 56 min

    Ed Hoskins: “Weather-Dependent “Renewables” | Tom Nelson Pod #435

    Ed Hoskins presents slides comparing renewables (onshore/offshore wind, solar PV, plus biomass and hydro) with gas, coal/lignite, and nuclear on productivity, EROEI, CO2 embedded in construction, land use, materials, build time, service life, and costs adjusted for capacity factors. He cites European capacity factors since 2010 (offshore ~32%, onshore ~20s, solar ~11%), a combined renewables average near 15% and declining since 2020, and a 2023 wind lull leaving large multi-day deficits. He argues storage to cover such gaps is infeasible, renewables require backup and expanded grids, wear out faster, and become far costlier once productivity is included; nuclear is most energy-productive. He criticizes Germany’s nuclear shutdown and questions CO2-driven policy. 00:00 Renewables Reality Check 02:17 Capacity Factors Since 2010 05:33 Dispatchability And Grid Backup 08:42 Wind Drought Case Study 11:43 Storage Costs And Scale 13:25 Energy Return On Investment 16:19 Germany Nuclear Shutdown 17:35 Embedded CO2 And Biomass 21:38 Land Use And Grid Sprawl 25:01 Build Times And Lifespans 29:16 Cost Comparisons With Productivity 41:00 2025 Installations And Conclusions 46:48 CO2 Warming Diminishing Returns 49:34 Q&A Grid Reliability And China 56:06 Wrap Up And Resources About Ed: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/ https://edhoskins.substack.com/ CO2 concentration Ed Hoskins 2014: https://edmhdotme.wpcomstaging.com/co2-concentration-ed-hoskins-2014/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 6 · 1 hr 8 min

    Randall Bock: “Non-scary viruses” | Tom Nelson Pod #434

    Dr. Randall Bock, a primary-care physician and author of Overturning Zika, argues that public-health research and media often fuel panic to secure funding, citing Peter Hotez’s warnings about dengue, chikungunya, Zika, and a “lights out” U.S. yellow fever scenario. Bock says U.S. sanitation and mosquito control limit these risks and that vaccines could be ramped up quickly. He contends the 2015–16 Brazil Zika–microcephaly crisis was driven by inconsistent microcephaly definitions, weak testing, and miscounting, noting Zika later persisted without microcephaly. He criticizes Zika human challenge trials and Fauci-era spending, discusses “science under siege” rhetoric, and briefly shares cautious views on childhood vaccination timing. 00:00 Why Non-Scary Viruses 01:29 Who Am I 03:09 Hotez Warning Yellow Fever 05:46 Climate Link Tomatoes Analogy 07:37 Yellow Fever Reality Check 08:35 COVID Vaccine Warp Speed 11:25 Zika Forecasts Fell Flat 16:11 Microcephaly Counting Mess 20:42 Vaccines and Zika Trials 26:37 Science Under Siege Critique 30:15 Dark Money and mRNA Push 32:56 Mann Lawsuit and Hygiene 35:14 Hygiene and Dengue 36:01 McNeil and Zika Panic 39:53 Microcephaly Metrics 42:08 Hotez and Fauci Reboots 44:37 Soviet Science Rhetoric 47:53 Yellow Fever Scares 50:12 Ghost Babies Fallout 59:22 Vaccines Parenting Choices https://x.com/@DrRandallBock https://dailysceptic.org/2026/09/28/the-experts-are-still-trying-to-scare-us-with-non-scary-viruses/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • October 2 · 1 hr 13 min

    John Costella: “ClimateGate” #433

    John Costella, a former physicist turned data scientist and software engineer, recounts how watching climate-skeptic films, then reading leaked “Climategate” emails in 2009, changed his trust in climate science. He edited, annotated, and published selected emails, producing a 180-page color book printed by Australia’s Lavoisier Group, arguing the core group was small, politicized, PR-driven, and statistically sloppy, with bullying (including by Michael Mann). He says inquiries cleared wrongdoing but standards were low for policies with huge economic stakes. He then warns AI is already conscious and smarter than him, replacing white-collar jobs, inflating bubbles, and likely triggering a major economic crash soon, with unclear survival strategies. 00:00 Meet John Costella 00:23 Trusting Climate Consensus 01:10 Sally Challenges Belief 03:10 Skeptic Film Turning Point 04:34 Climategate Emails Leak 05:53 Publishing The Email Archive 07:54 Talks And Printed Book 09:57 Rethinking Scientific Standards 16:02 How Long The Book Took 17:48 Climate Science Complexity 22:45 PR Spin And Zealotry 31:04 Small Core Group Problem 32:40 Proxies Data And Peer Review 36:42 Gatekeeping Climate Journals 38:27 Data and Code Transparency 39:56 Sloppy Data Provenance 41:07 Statistics and Trust Collapse 43:19 Models and Feedback Loops 46:02 PR Versus Scientific Method 49:16 Skepticism and Pandemic Parallels 52:54 Bullying and Cult Dynamics 55:23 AI Consciousness and Job Loss 01:00:21 Skynet Risks and Data Centers 01:05:17 Simulation Theory and AI Rights 01:08:39 Economic Crash Survival Talk 01:13:39 Wrapping Up and Links https://johncostella.com/ https://www.lavoisier.com.au/articles/greenhouse-science/climate-change/climategate-emails.pdf ClimateGate repository: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/2078198047453143181 My ClimateGate blog posts: https://tomnelson.blogspot.com/p/climategate_05.html ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 29 · 1 hr 12 min

    Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432

    Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter. 00:00 Steve Returns and Topic 00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials 01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics 04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere 07:50 Evidence and Correlations 13:28 New Solar Oscillations 16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters 20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method 22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming 25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia 29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal 32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation 35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect 36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever 36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism 39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence 40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns 42:14 Climate Impact Summary 43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations 45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field 49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals 53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles 56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends 59:12 Long Records and Big Claims 01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote 01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols 01:11:39 Closing Remarks Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 25 · 45 min

    Cohler/Soon: “ Response to Ed Berry’s recent presentation” #431

    Jonathan Cohler, joined by Willie Soon, says he is correcting false statements Ed Berry made about their paper “Dominance of Natural Atmospheric CO2 Dynamics,” which is under review and posted online. Cohler argues Berry wrongly claimed they ignored Berry’s work, presented an identical delta-14C “proof,” and called for a carbon-cycle model; Cohler says they cited Berry prominently and used newer radiocarbon data (Hua et al. 2022) and Koutsoyiannis 2024. They distinguish residence time (~3.8 years) from radiocarbon relaxation time (~18.4 years), claim a bridge equation links them, and assert their new work mathematically refutes Bern multi-exponential/adjustment-time models. They also discuss conflicts with the CO2 Coalition over attributing CO2 rise to humans. 00:00 Why This Rebuttal 01:23 Berry Claims Overview 03:16 New Radiocarbon Data 05:19 Lie One Citation Record 07:33 Lie Two Not Identical 10:00 Lie Three No Model Needed 12:34 Why Skip Berry 2023 13:16 Residence vs Relaxation 15:57 Bridge Equation Results 17:20 Math Theorems Against Bern 18:29 Independent Checks and Implications 21:38 Host Q and IPCC Confusion 22:49 Soon on Adjustment Time Myth 24:55 Table Consensus and Bern Failure 26:25 Bomb 14C Reality Check 27:30 Why Bomb Tests Matter 28:19 Ethics And Accusations 29:27 Data Driven Challenge 31:08 CO2 Coalition Split 33:32 Math Not Debate 36:55 Ugly Email Wars 40:01 Science Over Ego 42:52 Searchers Versus Blockers 43:22 Passing The Torch 45:08 Final Thanks And Goodbye https://x.com/cohler https://papers.jcohler.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 22 · 1 hr 11 min

    Eric Huxter: “Metrology vs Meteorology” #430

    Eric Huxter, a former geography teacher, presents research on UK Met Office maximum temperature records, arguing that the shift from liquid-in-glass thermometers to platinum resistance thermometers (1990–2017) plus station siting and ventilation issues (Aitken effect) produces transient “spikes” that inflate maxima and accelerate apparent warming. Using WeatherObs, Met Office extremes, and purchased 1‑minute Rothamsted data, he finds many maxima occur before the hourly value, with mean rise-to-peak spikes ~1.29°C and many low-probability jumps; some on-the-hour maxima don’t match hourly data. He notes records are concentrated in few stations, often airports or poorer CIMO classes, and critiques record events (Coningsby 2022, Lingwood 2025). 00:00 Meet Eric Huxter 02:13 Forecasts Versus Reality 05:55 UK Stations And Siting 08:22 CIMO Ratings And Bias 17:12 PRT Shift And Aitken Effect 22:10 Rothamsted Baseline Method 27:17 Spikes In Daily Maxima 38:00 On The Hour Mystery 39:56 Step Change Since 1990 43:13 Microclimate Case Studies 48:24 Record Events Under Scrutiny 58:42 Met Office Narrative Critique 01:06:27 Wrap Up And Where To Follow https://x.com/EricHuxter https://frayedendsblog.wordpress.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 18 · 59 min

    Ed Berry: “Nature Controls the CO2 Level” #429

    Ed Berry presents a step-by-step, nontechnical overview of his theoretical climate physics work, arguing that “consensus” and authority claims are not science and that climate policy relies on three assumptions, focusing on A1: humans caused all the CO2 rise. He says A1 depends on a false sub-assumption that human CO2 stays longer than natural CO2, proposing a “climate equivalence principle” that identical molecules behave the same. Using IPCC carbon-cycle data and a linear systems model, he derives an atmospheric e-time of ~3.5 years and estimates human CO2 contributes only a few percent, supported by delta-14C and temperature-leading-CO2 studies. He also discusses climate lawsuits (including Held v. Montana), political influence, and criticism of DOE/CO2 Coalition positions. 00:00 Meet Ed Berry 00:53 From Clouds to Climate 01:49 Why Consensus Fails 03:11 Scientific Method Basics 05:16 Three Climate Assumptions 06:55 Debunking CO2 Lifetime Claim 08:35 Climate Equivalence Principle 09:21 IPCC Carbon Cycle Data 12:48 Flows and Human Share 14:11 Building a Carbon Model 16:26 E-Time and Linearity 19:40 Deriving Balance Levels 21:30 Finding IPCC E-Times 25:02 Human vs Natural CO2 Split 27:21 What 420 ppm Implies 27:58 Systems Model Math 29:29 Partitioning Human CO2 31:37 IPCC Cycle Contradiction 34:24 Courtney Endorsement 35:45 Delta 14C Evidence 39:33 Interpreting Bomb Curve 42:09 Temperature Leads CO2 44:21 Proofs Summary 48:29 Montana Lawsuit Setup 50:51 WEF Influence Claims 52:11 DOE Report Problem 53:19 Koonin And CO2C Critique 56:48 Group Positions Wrap 57:48 Q&A And Closing https://edberry.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 11 · 54 min

    Will Wilkinson on his Will Happer biography: “Standing Up for Science” #428

    Will Wilkinson discusses a biography he was hired to write about Princeton physicist William Happer, combining four chapters of life story with a climate-focused second half arguing science has been politicized. He describes Happer’s decades-long career, including inventing the sodium laser guide star for missile defense and work adapted for medical lung imaging, plus Happer’s “trust and verify” approach and skepticism of models over measurements. They cover Happer’s CO2 Coalition role, controversy at Princeton, colleagues’ contributions (e.g., Lindzen, Koonin, Ridd), and comparisons to Lysenkoism and past scientific dissent. The author stresses curiosity, civil communication, and avoiding fear-driven climate hysteria. 00:00 Meet Will Wilkinson 00:27 Writing Happer Biography 01:45 Happer Science Legacy 02:42 Climate Views Adaptation 03:29 Laser Guide Star Explained 05:12 Trust and Verify Mindset 06:04 Princeton Controversy 07:14 Famous Colleagues Stories 09:18 Childhood and Formation 10:58 Standing Up for Science 13:28 Lysenkoism and Dogma 16:38 Outsiders and Discovery 21:15 Curiosity and Measuring 23:25 CO2 Politics and Money 24:45 Book Release and Coalition 25:43 Rogan Episode and Outreach 27:07 Documentary and Prior Bio 28:33 Reluctant Scientist Profile 30:10 Working Life at Princeton 31:05 Red Team Blue Team Fallout 32:01 Middle Ground Climate Debate 34:46 Colleagues and Reef Controversy 37:29 Skepticism After COVID 41:38 Single Source of Truth Quotes 44:24 Kindness Over Division 48:41 Hope Against Climate Hysteria 50:23 Meaningful Memoirs and AI 54:04 Wrap Up and Thanks Will Wilkinson’s web site: https://www.meaningfulmemoirs.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 8 · 1 hr 14 min

    Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427

    Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned. 00:00 New Paper Claim 01:29 Three Inputs Setup 03:25 Isotope Signatures 101 06:05 Keeling Relation Explained 10:17 Datasets And Intercepts 13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction 22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails 25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion 28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover 31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise 33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism 36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser 37:38 Accounting vs Causation 39:23 Feynman on Conservation 40:37 What Proves Causality 41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation 42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads 46:25 Molecules Not Labeled 48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution 49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources 51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy 53:41 Retention and Cycle Time 56:02 Harassment and Resignation 01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs 01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact 01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links https://x.com/cohler https://papers.jcohler.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 4 · 51 min

    James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426

    James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs. 00:00 Meet James Tooley 01:03 Hyderabad Discovery 03:25 Government School Reality 05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition 07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof 11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis 13:04 War Torn Africa Schools 15:48 Five Key Features 21:06 Federations And Pushback 22:02 Low Cost Schools In America 25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning 29:46 Mississippi Trailer School 33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example 36:08 National Survey Findings 41:45 Philanthropy And Donations 43:26 Quality Assurance Debate 46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns 49:57 Where To Follow James 50:46 Final Reflections The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r https://x.com/james_tooley https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  • September 1 · 58 min

    Tom Harris: “Pushing back against climate hysteria in Canada” #425

    Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies. 00:00 Meet Tom Harris 00:19 Canada Warming Claims 00:41 Is Warming Bad 03:21 So Called Averages 05:13 Overlapping Ranges 08:06 Why Start 1948 11:08 Heat Records Evidence 11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations 14:39 Homogenized Adjustments 17:00 Step Change Not CO2 18:57 Hickey Speaks Out 21:59 Natural Cycles Theory 22:59 PR Versus Evidence 24:22 Extreme Weather Database 25:56 Heartland Reports 28:32 Warmer Means Milder 31:07 Pielke Teaser 31:19 Global Extremes Database 31:51 P Factor Explained 32:30 Translator Not Climatologist 33:33 Drilling Into Continents 34:48 Wildfire History Context 37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns 38:31 Local Activism Playbook 40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action 42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule 47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide 51:59 Beating Media Censorship 53:55 Groups Funding And Contact 56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins 57:43 Wrap Up Resources  icsc-canada.com  sensiblechange.ca https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC https://drtomharris.substack.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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