The Fed hikes rates. What happens now?
For the first time in three years, the overnight federal funds rate is going up, as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to raise rates at its September meeting. In this episode of Making Sense, Samantha Azzarello, head of Content Strategy for Global Research, sits down with Michael Feroli, chief U.S. economist at J.P. Morgan, to discuss what went into the FOMC's decision, what to make of chair Kevin Warsh's press conference and how the unanimous Committee vote affects concerns over Fed independence. They also discuss whether rates might be considered restrictive, whether we're at the start of a hiking cycle and what to watch from here. This episode was recorded on September 17, 2026. This communication has been prepared based upon information from sources believed to be reliable, but J.P. Morgan does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to J.P. Morgan and/or its affiliates and an analyst's involvement with any company (or security, other financial product or other asset class) that may be the subject of this communication. Any opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This communication is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. J.P. Morgan Research does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Any opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. You must make your own independent decisions regarding any securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned or related to the information herein. Periodic updates may be provided on companies, issuers or industries based on specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. However, J.P. Morgan may be restricted from updating information contained in this communication for regulatory or other reasons. This communication may not be redistributed or retransmitted, in whole or in part, or in any form or manner, without the express written consent of J.P. Morgan. Any unauthorized use or disclosure is prohibited. Receipt and review of this information constitutes your agreement not to redistribute or retransmit the contents and information contained in this communication without first obtaining express permission from an authorized officer of J.P. Morgan. © 2026, JPMorganChase & Co. All rights reserved.