Google, Amazon and Intel all showed AI demand. QQQ still fell 3.4%.| Ep 62
Google, Amazon and Intel all reported this week, and on Friday QQQ fell 3.4%. Daniel Newman and Shay Boloor went live at 3 PM ET on episode 62, with QQQ down about 4% while they were on air, to sort out what changed in AI this week and what did not. Chief Market Strategist Shay Boloor says his line in the sand, the 21-week moving average on QQQ, broke before the open, and 680 is the next level he is watching. Daniel lists every Friday that QQQ gapped down more than 2.5% after a down day: 2001, June 2002, October 2008, twice during COVID, Liberation Day, and today. He says each one came during a real capitulation. His read on the week is that none of the misses were about AI. Google Cloud grew 103% and AWS grew 39%. What weakened was the business that pays for AI: Google's ads and Amazon's free cash flow. On Google, Shay says this was the first quarter Search came in under half of revenue, and AI Mode earns less per query than traditional search does. Reddit fell about 29% on the same shift in traffic. He would buy Google for Cloud, with a backlog near half a trillion dollars and more than 100 TPU customers. On ServiceNow, Shay sold near $140 before the print and still sees it as the control tower for enterprise AI agents, with the revenue arriving in 2027. Daniel bought more at $110 and plans to hold it for five years. On Intel, which fell 29% on Friday, Daniel says Intel could sell every data center chip it can make and cannot make more, and that the stock ran from $20 to almost $150 before the numbers showed up. Shay says the CPU demand Intel cannot fill goes to AMD and Nvidia. The Q&A covers the 10-year near 5% and the funding squeeze on neoclouds, a stagflation playbook, the reported Marvell and Lumentum deal, Credo against Google and Amazon, robotics picks, SpaceX at $135, Cipher and IREN, the Anthropic IPO, and whether AMD could have an Intel quarter. Watch the full episode with chapters on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/aOQqqdj1DTk?feature=share Bring your tickers and questions to the chat on the next live show and the guys will take them on air.