
Can Digital Twins Really Replace Human Participants? | The Signal
Can an AI trained to mimic you really predict how you'd respond to a survey? In this episode of The Signal, Prolific's Oriol Bosch sits down with Olivier Toubia (Columbia Business School, co-head of the Digital Twins Lab) and Beca Almeida (Founder, Doppel Market) to unpack what digital twins and synthetic respondents can and can't do in research today. The conversation covers the defining differences between digital twins, synthetic personas, and silicon samples, how Doppel Market keeps real people in the loop rather than replacing them, where synthetic data genuinely complements traditional surveys versus where it falls short, and methods for deciding whether a question is actually suited to synthetic prediction at all. Topics covered: What digital twins, synthetic personas, and silicon samples actually mean Why Doppel Market's approach keeps humans in the loop rather than removing them The four ways AI is reshaping research, from question creation to respondent simulation A practical heuristic for deciding when synthetic data is (and isn't) appropriate Why neither guest believes full replacement of human respondents is realistic About the speakers: Oriol Bosch is Head of Polling at Prolific, leading work on what shapes public opinion and how to measure it more effectively. Olivier Toubia is Professor of Business at Columbia Business School and co-head of the Digital Twins Lab. Beca Almeida is the founder of Doppel Market, a consumer-insights platform built around digital twins. References: "Digital Twins are Funhouse Mirrors: Five Systematic Distortions" https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aeh8260 "Synthetic Data and Digital Twins: The Hype, The Facts, the Promise" https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=7065919 Doppel Market https://doppelmarket.com/ The Signal is Prolific's podcast on research evidence - not tools, not trends. Real findings from the field, peer-level conversation, no vendor pitch. Subscribe for new episodes monthly.