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Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable Media

Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.

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46 episodes
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English

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Today · 45 min
There MIGHT Be Some Hope Left for GOP in the Midterms
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks into a few brand-new polls that might suggest Republicans have a few silver linings left in the black cloud that has become the 2026 midterms. Then, Stu examines an interesting new media strategy coming from Angela and Ken Paxton in Texas. Plus, today’s “Candidate Countdown” ventures into the bayou for a race out of Louisiana! And, Stu hedges his life (and increases his portfolio) in the wake of back-to-back losses for the Philadelphia Eagles.
- Transcript
Thursday · 44 min
The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for the GOP and some leaked audio from Ken Paxton could be having a disastrous impact on the Texas Senate race. Plus, Stu tries to conjure the “Candidate Countdown!” curse for a midterms race in Florida.
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Wednesday · length unknown
The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest major warning sign for Republicans in the midterm elections and compares it to what the prediction markets are saying about November. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown” focuses in on a small, but important, New Jersey House race. And Stu reacts to the news that Adam Kinzinger is being investigated for prediction market insider trading regarding his preemptive pardon from former-President Joe Biden.
- Transcript
Tuesday · 45 min
Oh Look, Another Race We Were TOTALLY Ahead of the Curve On!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a look at the state of the midterm elections as we hit the five-weeks-away mark and breaks down some of the newest polling and prediction market info on the race for Los Angeles mayor between incumbent Karen Bass and Democratic Socialist Nithya Raman. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” focusing on an independent in Nebraska. And Stu checks in on the record of his beloved Philadelphia Eagles.
- Transcript
September 28 · 44 min
The Rise of the FAKE Independents & Senate Balance Check
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the latest on his Predictable Midterm Consensus and breaks down what the Senate makeup could look like post-election season in November. Plus, an investigation into how so-called “Independent” candidates are affecting the polls in several states around the country. Then, Mick Bransfield of Kingston Chase Consulting joins for a look at the current legal issues facing prediction markets as they gain popularity nationwide. And today’s edition of “Candidate Countdown!” features a very handsome and polished race out of Georgia.
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September 24 · 45 min
You Won’t Believe this MAJOR Twist in Critical Senate Race
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down a crazy twist in one of this November’s major Senate races and theorizes on whether or not this show is cursed and responsible. Then, another edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Illinois. And Brent Evans joins to talk about some of his favorite market investments involving the NFL and professional golf.
- Transcript
September 23 · 44 min
When Is the Right Time for MIDTERMS PANIC?!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a logical and dispassionate look at the November midterms and zeroes in on which exact day is the right one for conservatives and Republicans to truly start panicking. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Alaska. And, Stu goes over a market he “kinda likes” regarding Nathen Fielder’s wild new documentary on Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes.
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September 22 · 45 min
The GOP’s BEST-CASE Scenario for Midterms EXPLAINED
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere outlines the best-case scenario for Republicans to emerge victorious from the midterm elections this November, and what the prediction markets are hinting at as we get closer to voting day. Then, Jesse Rosen and Tanner Lux from the Predict2026 conference join the program to outline what their New York City event will contain this coming December. Plus, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Florida and Stu reveals his newest “Stranger Trade.”
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September 21 · 44 min
The Republicans STRIKE BACK!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the GOP’s plans to turn their approach to the midterms around and checks in on the markets to analyze the viability of their plans. Then, it’s a brand new edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Ohio. Plus, Stu breaks down a couple of markets he ‘kinda likes’ including ones involving Kamala Harris’s 2028 plans and the MLB playoff chances of the Toronto Blue Jays.
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September 17 · 43 min
The Senate Midterms Info You NEED to Maximize Your Election Investment Value!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals his long-awaited midterm election GUT CHECK for the Senate. Then, Dan Andros joins to react to those predictions and teams up with Stu for a special edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Maine.
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September 16 · 45 min
Sydney Sweeney & Lebron James: When Prediction Markets and Celebs Collide!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks at the prediction market industry through the lens of culture and examines the LeBron James / Polymarket situation as well as actress Sydney Sweeney and her provocative deal (and advertisement) with Novig. Then, Stu heads to Minnesota for today’s “Candidate Countdown!” Plus, Stu analyzes what the market has to say about potential 2028 presidential runs from Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom.
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September 15 · 44 min
The Shocking Senate Market FLIP That Nobody Saw Coming!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the recent polling and market flip of the Senate from Republican favor to Democrat and finds the value opportunities hidden in the chaos. Then, today’s edition of “Candidate Countdown!” features a major race out of New York. Plus, Stu “Defends the Castle” against bad faith takes on investing in prediction markets and the many major ways they differ from everyday gambling and betting.
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September 14 · 44 min
Don’t Miss a BIG Investment Opportunity in this VITAL Midterms Race
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere gives our brand new viewers on The First TV a rundown of what this show is all about and how to utilize its benefits for major value. Then, a look at today's “Candidate Countdown!” out of Arkansas. Plus, Stu breaks down yesterday’s opening weekend NFL scores and highlights how it impacted the prediction markets and his investments.
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September 10 · 1 hr
The Inaugural “Predictable w/ Stu” NFL Prediction Market Draft!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere is joined by fellow Predictable Posse members Dan Andros and Brent Evans as well as “At the Mic with Keith Malinak” host Keith Malinak for the very first NFL Prediction Market Draft on the program! Then, Stu reveals the newest member of his “Candidate Countdown!” series, this time out of Texas.
- Transcript
September 9 · 52 min
The WORST CASE SCENARIO for the GOP in November’s Midterms
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the absolute worst-case scenario for the GOP in this November’s midterms and lays out what the prediction markets have to say about the matter. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” as the November elections grow ever nearer. Plus, Stu recaps last night’s primary election in New Hampshire and previews tonight’s rare Wednesday primary out of Rhode Island. And, Stu celebrates a very important 5-year anniversary.
- Transcript
September 8 · 44 min
You Won’t BELIEVE What Happened to Me…
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere tells the harrowing tale of where he’s been the past week and shares some exciting new things coming to the program this week. Then, the premiere of the brand new segment, “Candidate Countdown!” Plus, a short preview of today’s primary election in New Hampshire and a look at the first ever GOP midterm convention happening in Dallas this week.
- Transcript
August 26 · 39 min
Graham and Mazzei Wins Brought BIG Predictable Profit!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the results of last night’s primary runoff elections in South Carolina and Oklahoma, highlighting the wins of Trump picks Darline Graham and Mike Mazzei. Plus, Stu details his ‘perfect trade’ on the Mazzei market. Then, a look at how our audience did on their election investments last night. And Stu reacts to some big moves in the wide world of sports concerning prediction markets; specifically Kalshi and the MLB.
- Transcript
August 24 · 53 min
LAST CHANCE for Big Payouts in South Carolina / Oklahoma Primary Runoffs
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere previews tomorrow’s primary runoff elections in South Carolina and Oklahoma and highlights any last-minute remaining value options for prediction market investors. Then, Stu looks at the state of political polling in the United States in the wake of the shocking news regarding one of Francesca Hong’s pollsters and their entirely made-up polling information ‘social experiment.’ And a new edition of Predictable Postmortem as Stu highlights some of his trade results regarding Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders of the Cleveland Browns, and Enes Kanter’s attempts to join the WNBA.
- Transcript
August 20 · 52 min
Stu’s HEROIC Market Position You Can’t Afford to Miss!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere details one of the most important prediction market investments he’s ever made: will there be a human case of new world screwworm in 2026? The details of the situation may disturb and frighten you! Then, Stephen Kent of the Consumer Choice Center joins to break down the latest in prediction market news and sway Stu on a few of his own unique market positions.
- Transcript
August 19 · 53 min
Florida’s Wild Primary and How to Know When It’s Time to Switch Your Investments!
On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down last night’s wild primary election results in Florida, Wyoming and Alaska and details his personal market investment positions and how they played out as the votes came in. Then, Stu premieres a brand new segment that you need to have on the top of your mind if you want to be at the top of your game while investing: “INSTA-SELL!”
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