
The Remedies Episode
Adam Heimlich and Gareth Glaser tackle the unsealing of the government's 108-page Google ad tech antitrust remedies document. Adam and Gareth break down the core structural issue in digital publishing: why every major website is forced to maintain two separate demand setups—Google Ad Manager (GAM) for Google demand and Prebid/TAM for everything else—rather than running a single unified auction. Gareth explains that if AdX and AdWords are forced to bid into Prebid on equal terms, up to 80% of publishers who lack direct sales teams could abandon GAM entirely, speeding up web page loads and opening up true competition among sell-side ad servers. The hosts dive into Scott Messer's viral analysis highlighting a glaring loophole in the remedies that permits AdWords to continue favoring AdX whenever Google claims it provides superior advertiser value, privacy, or fraud protection. Adam counters with a historical parallel to the 2001 Microsoft Windows antitrust settlement, arguing that behavioral remedies can succeed when executive leadership tires of regulatory litigation and chooses to compete on product quality rather than illegal ties. To wrap up, the hosts analyze an Ad Age report detailing OpenAI's path toward a $100 billion ad business. They examine why top early spenders like Capital One and Expedia are experiencing disastrous direct-response performance on ChatGPT. Gareth and Adam explain that unlike Facebook or Fox News, where passive scrolling environments drive impulse clicks, reading-focused LLM users simply do not engage with performance ads. KEY TOPICS The DOJ Remedies Document & The "One Line" Unified Auction: Adam and Gareth analyze the government's 108-page antitrust filing, explaining how forcing AdX to bid directly into Prebid could allow the 80% of publishers without direct sales teams to abandon GAM entirely. Scott Messer's Loophole & AdWords Favoritism: The hosts discuss Scott Messer's warning that Google can exploit a remedy clause allowing AdWords to prioritize AdX whenever Google asserts that AdX delivers higher ROI, better data, or superior privacy. Microsoft 2001 Parallels & Corporate Mindset Shifts: Adam draws a direct comparison to the 2001 Microsoft Windows settlement, predicting that Google's executive leadership will eventually tire of fighting regulators and choose to win through genuine product innovation. OpenAI's Ad Revenue Dreams vs. Diabolical DR Performance: The hosts dissect ChatGPT's ad network ambitions, noting that top early spenders like Capital One and Expedia are seeing terrible direct-response results because LLM users are actively studying rather than browsing for impulse buys. Legacy Ad Server Latency & Taboola's UK Acquisition: Gareth highlights Taboola's £27 million UK publisher acquisition, while Adam points out that legacy GAM implementations artificially add 600 milliseconds of unnecessary latency to every page load on the internet. CHAPTER TIMESTAMPS 00:00 Show Intro & Mind Sticker Pre-Roll 01:05 Reading the 108-Page DOJ Google Antitrust Remedies Document 02:39 The "Two Lines" Problem: GAM vs. Prebid 05:14 Can Publishers Move to a Single Prebid Line? 07:52 Why 80% of GAM Users Don't Actually Need an Ad Server 11:46 Large Publisher Legacy Infrastructure & Offboarding Hurdles 15:10 Scott Messer's Loophole: How AdWords Can Still Favor AdX 21:48 Microsoft 2001 Parallels: Will Google Leadership Just Stop Cheating? 25:47 Why Google Harvested Third-Party Publisher Data 32:48 Tobin's Question: Buy-Side Policy & Thin Auctions 38:32 Capital Inflows & The 600ms Ad Server Latency Tax 44:11 Ad Age OpenAI Story & ChatGPT's Top Ad Spenders 46:50 Why LLM Users Don't Click DR Ads (The Fox News Comparison) 52:28 Innovid, Video Ad Serving, & Taboola's £27M UK M&A 57:48 Top Ad Tech Nations & Next Week Preview